Guaraní vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 0
LQE
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
CCP
1 - 5
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 3
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
LQE
1 - 3
GUA
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
TAC
2 - 1
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
PET
1 - 2
TAC
39%
26%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
TAC
0 - 1
AME
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
LIB
2 - 0
TAC
62%
21%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
TAC
1 - 1
PET
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |