Guaraní vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 2
GEN
63%
21%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 1
GUA
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 1
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 4
GUA
23%
24%
53%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 2
OLI
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 1
SPC
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
SPC
1 - 0
CIE
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
MUN
0 - 5
SPC
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 3
SPC
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2014 |
SPC
0 - 0
AUR
63%
21%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -2 |