Guaraní vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
TAC
1 - 1
GUA
28%
23%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LQE
1 - 3
GUA
24%
24%
53%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
5 - 2
TAC
71%
18%
12%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
4 - 0
CCP
52%
24%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
RÑU
1 - 3
SPO
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
AME
2 - 2
RÑU
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
RÑU
1 - 1
GEN
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
LQE
2 - 1
RÑU
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
RÑU
5 - 1
DEP
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |