Guaraní vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
GUA
32%
29%
38%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 2
AME
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
TAC
68%
21%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
GUA
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
RÑU
3 - 1
TAC
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
RÑU
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 1
LQE
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
LIB
3 - 0
RÑU
68%
21%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 0
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |