Guaraní vs Rubio Ñu analysis


72	ELO	70
-6.5%	Tilt	1.1%
820º	General ELO ranking	1449º
4º	Country ELO ranking	16º
ELO win probability

50%

Guaraní

27.5%

Draw

22.5%

Rubio Ñu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

50%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%

27.5%

Draw

0-0

10.8%

1-1

12.5%

2-2

3.6%

3-3

0.5%

4-4

<0%

0

27.5%

22.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-9%

+27%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guaraní

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
07 May. 2009	2DE 1 - 1 GUA 41% 27% 32%	71	66	5
03 May. 2009	AME 0 - 0 GUA 48% 25% 26%	71	70	1
01 May. 2009	GUA 1 - 1 CUE 36% 26% 38%	71	78	7
27 Apr. 2009	GUA 1 - 1 12O 55% 25% 20%	71	66	5
23 Apr. 2009	GUA 0 - 0 OLI 45% 27% 28%	71	74	3

Matches

Rubio Ñu

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
03 May. 2009	RÑU 0 - 2 LQE 48% 27% 25%	72	70	2	0
25 Apr. 2009	RÑU 2 - 3 TAC 50% 27% 23%	72	70	2	0
19 Apr. 2009	RÑU 2 - 2 NAC 33% 26% 41%	72	78	6	0
15 Apr. 2009	12O 1 - 0 RÑU 40% 29% 32%	73	65	8	-1
11 Apr. 2009	RÑU 0 - 2 LIB 36% 28% 36%	73	80	7	0