Guaraní vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
54.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
GUA
5 - 0
SAP
94%
5%
1%
|
80 | 16 | 64 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
GUA
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
GUA
5 - 0
GEN
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 1
SPO
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
DEP
1 - 2
GUA
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
OLI
4 - 1
SPO
84%
12%
5%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 0
CRI
92%
6%
2%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
DEP
0 - 6
OLI
9%
17%
73%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
OLI
4 - 0
SAN
86%
11%
3%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CCP
0 - 0
OLI
33%
24%
43%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |