Guaraní vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 0
GUA
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 5
GUA
23%
24%
53%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
SPO
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
OLI
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
RAC
0 - 0
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
LIB
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
LQE
0 - 1
OLI
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 1
CDN
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
OLI
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
AME
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |