Guaraní vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
24%
26%
51%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
RÑU
3 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
IND
60%
25%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
TAC
59%
24%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
TOL
26%
24%
50%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 2
CCP
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 4
OLI
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 0
AME
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 2
OLI
23%
28%
49%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 1
IND
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |