Guaraní vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
TAC
2 - 1
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 0
LQE
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
BOC
3 - 1
GUA
74%
17%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 0
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LIB
3 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
OLI
3 - 1
SAN
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 2
TAC
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
LQE
1 - 1
OLI
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 2
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 1
RÑU
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |