Guaraní vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
12O
1 - 2
GUA
36%
27%
36%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
AME
0 - 1
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 0
TAC
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
CCP
5 - 0
GUA
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 2
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
OLI
2 - 2
AME
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
TAC
3 - 2
OLI
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
OLI
0 - 1
CCP
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 2
OLI
51%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
OLI
0 - 2
SPC
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |