Guaraní vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
RPA
0 - 1
GUA
26%
25%
49%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 2
GUA
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
OLI
23%
22%
55%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
GUA
5 - 0
SAP
94%
5%
1%
|
80 | 16 | 64 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
GUA
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 0
SPO
74%
17%
8%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 0
DEP
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
LIB
18%
24%
58%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 1
CCP
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 2
FER
71%
18%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |