Guaraní vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 2
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
CCP
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 0
LQE
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 2
GUA
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
GUA
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 0
CCP
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
AME
2 - 0
LIB
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
LIB
3 - 1
SAN
67%
22%
11%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 1
LIB
26%
26%
49%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LIB
0 - 2
OLI
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |