Guaraní vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
DEP
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
GUA
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 1
CCP
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 0
DEP
74%
17%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
LIB
5 - 0
GEN
76%
18%
7%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
LIB
2 - 1
IND
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
CCP
0 - 1
LIB
55%
23%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
LIB
3 - 0
DEP
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
LQE
0 - 0
LIB
25%
27%
49%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |