Guaraní vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
AME
0 - 0
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
GUA
22%
24%
54%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 4
CCP
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
30%
26%
45%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 4
NAC
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
LIB
2 - 1
PEÑ
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 2
LQE
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
LIB
0 - 1
OLI
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 0
GEN
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
LIB
3 - 0
STR
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |