Guaraní vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 5
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
GUA
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 2
LQE
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 2
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
MIN
1 - 2
LIB
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 0
LIB
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
MIN
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
CAR
69%
21%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
LQE
0 - 1
LIB
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |