Guaraní vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 2
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 0
GUA
27%
27%
47%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAR
68%
21%
12%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 0
LQE
69%
21%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
CER
0 - 1
LIB
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
IND
0 - 5
LIB
19%
25%
56%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
CCP
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
RÑU
2 - 7
LIB
21%
26%
52%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |