Guaraní vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
GUA
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
CCP
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
RÑU
65%
22%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
GUA
32%
29%
38%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 2
AME
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 2
TAC
76%
17%
7%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LQE
0 - 2
LIB
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
LIB
3 - 0
CER
66%
22%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
LIB
3 - 0
IND
68%
21%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |