Guaraní vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
GUA
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
RÑU
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 4
OLI
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
LQE
63%
23%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
AME
0 - 1
GUA
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 1
OLI
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 1
LIB
25%
29%
46%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 0
IND
74%
18%
8%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 2
LIB
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |