Guaraní vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
35.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
PET
1 - 2
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 2
CCP
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 2
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 0
12O
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
2DE
2 - 0
GUA
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
LIB
4 - 0
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 2
FLU
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
LIB
3 - 0
PET
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
CCP
0 - 2
LIB
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
LIG
2 - 0
LIB
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |