Guaraní vs General Caballero JLM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
10º
4º
25
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
AME
0 - 0
GUA
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
OLI
44%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
CDR
92%
7%
2%
|
81 | 40 | 41 | -1 |
Matches
General Caballero JLM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
JLM
0 - 0
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TAC
3 - 0
JLM
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
JLM
0 - 0
LIB
37%
26%
38%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
LQE
1 - 0
JLM
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
JLM
1 - 1
CCP
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |