Guaraní vs General Caballero JLM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
10º
4º
24
3º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
HUR
4 - 1
GUA
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
GUA
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
SPT
1 - 1
GUA
35%
28%
38%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
TAC
66%
21%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
General Caballero JLM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
JLM
0 - 1
AME
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 0
JLM
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
JLM
2 - 3
CCP
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
JLM
1 - 2
OLI
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
TAC
2 - 2
JLM
33%
25%
43%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |