Guaraní vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
50%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
GUA
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
CCP
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
CRZ
26%
27%
48%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 0
GUA
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
TOL
26%
25%
49%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
MIL
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
HUI
4 - 7
TOL
36%
27%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 1
EST
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |