Guaraní vs PF Cerro Por. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
TAC
2 - 0
GUA
24%
27%
49%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LQE
1 - 1
GUA
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 2
LIB
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
GUA
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CER
0 - 5
CCP
22%
26%
53%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
TAC
4 - 0
CER
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
RÑU
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 0
CER
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
CAR
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |