Guaraní vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
12O
2 - 2
GUA
19%
25%
57%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 0
CCP
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 2
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
RÑU
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LQE
1 - 4
GUA
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 5
OLI
31%
26%
42%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LIB
4 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
AME
1 - 1
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
GEN
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 2
12O
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |