Guaraní vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LQE
1 - 2
GUA
33%
27%
41%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
5 - 2
TAC
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
RÑU
1 - 1
GUA
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 1
AME
56%
25%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
41%
28%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
CCP
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
SPC
2 - 3
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
AME
3 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 3
NAC
27%
25%
47%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SPT
0 - 1
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |