Guaraní II vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 5
GSP
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
GSP
2 - 2
NAC
11%
17%
72%
|
11 | 50 | 39 | +5 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
AGU
3 - 1
GSP
79%
14%
7%
|
11 | 55 | 44 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
GSP
0 - 5
POR
11%
19%
70%
|
12 | 55 | 43 | -1 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 0
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
POR
3 - 1
AGU
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
AGU
3 - 1
GSP
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 11 | 44 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
AGU
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 1
AGU
87%
11%
3%
|
56 | 89 | 33 | 0 |