Guarani RS vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
GEB
0 - 0
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
ISM
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
ECA
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 0
SGA
53%
25%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
ISM
0 - 0
GUA
55%
23%
21%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
3 - 0
SGA
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ISM
1 - 1
SAO
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 0
GUA
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
LAJ
1 - 1
SAO
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 2
LAJ
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |