Guarani RS vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
RIO
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 2
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
FAR
1 - 1
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 3
RIO
44%
25%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
ISM
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
ECJ
0 - 1
SAO
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
FAR
45%
25%
31%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
ISM
2 - 1
SAO
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
SSR
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
SAO
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |