Guarani RS vs São Gabriel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
PEL
2 - 1
GUA
47%
26%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 2
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2017 |
PEL
2 - 1
GUA
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
SGA
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
São Gabriel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 3
SGA
47%
22%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SGA
2 - 3
GEB
56%
21%
23%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
SGA
0 - 0
GUA
56%
20%
24%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
SGA
36%
23%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
SGA
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |