Guarani RS vs São Gabriel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 3
GUA
18%
24%
58%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
ISM
1 - 3
GUA
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
ECA
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 1
SAN
60%
23%
18%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
São Gabriel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SGA
2 - 0
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
SGA
3 - 1
BRA
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
PEL
0 - 2
SGA
57%
24%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
ISM
1 - 1
SGA
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
SGA
3 - 3
PEL
32%
26%
43%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |