Guarani RS vs São Gabriel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2015 |
ISM
2 - 3
GUA
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PEL
0 - 1
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 2
RIO
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SGA
0 - 0
GUA
34%
26%
41%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
ISM
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
São Gabriel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2015 |
SGA
2 - 1
RIO
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
SGA
3 - 0
ISM
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
PEL
0 - 0
SGA
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SGA
0 - 0
GUA
34%
26%
41%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 0
SGA
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |