Guarani RS vs São Gabriel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
SJO
1 - 2
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 3
ECA
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 1
GUA
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 0
CFC
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 2
NOV
35%
25%
41%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
São Gabriel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
SGA
0 - 0
ECM
77%
14%
8%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2008 |
SJO
3 - 1
SGA
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
SGA
1 - 3
ECA
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
SGA
0 - 0
CFC
74%
15%
11%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
PAN
0 - 2
SGA
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |