Guarani RS vs Santa Cruz RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 3
GUA
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
LAJ
1 - 0
GUA
43%
27%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
GEB
0 - 0
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
ISM
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
JEC
30%
26%
45%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
ECS
3 - 1
SAN
61%
23%
17%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 1
ECS
16%
22%
63%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | +6 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
ISM
0 - 1
SAN
62%
22%
17%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 1
ISM
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |