Guarani RS vs Santa Cruz RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
ISM
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
RIO
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
SGA
2 - 1
GUA
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
PEL
1 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
BRA
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
RIO
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SGA
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ECA
0 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
PEL
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
ISM
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |