Guarani RS vs Riograndense SM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
SGA
2 - 1
GUA
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
PEL
1 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
BRA
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
GLO
2 - 1
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
SGA
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Riograndense SM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SGA
3 - 0
RIO
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
ECA
4 - 1
RIO
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 4
ISM
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -3 |
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 1
GUA
28%
27%
45%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
SGA
2 - 1
RIO
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |