Guarani RS vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
71%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
BRA
1 - 1
GUA
84%
12%
4%
|
43 | 77 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAX
15%
22%
63%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
GUA
0 - 2
BRA
10%
17%
74%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CAX
1 - 0
GUA
85%
11%
4%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
GRE
1 - 1
GUA
89%
9%
3%
|
42 | 76 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
GRE
3 - 4
SGA
89%
9%
3%
|
76 | 40 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
SJO
2 - 1
GRE
9%
17%
74%
|
76 | 36 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
BAH
2 - 1
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
GRE
4 - 1
SJO
89%
9%
3%
|
76 | 37 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
SGA
1 - 3
GRE
9%
18%
73%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | 0 |