Guarani RS vs Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 0
BRA
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 2
GUA
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 2
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 0
ECJ
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SSR
1 - 1
GUA
36%
25%
40%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FAR
1 - 0
SAO
35%
27%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FAR
2 - 2
GFC
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ECJ
1 - 0
FAR
52%
24%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 0
FAR
52%
25%
23%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FAR
0 - 1
BRA
20%
23%
57%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |