Guarani RS vs Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2008 |
ECA
1 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 3
ECA
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
FAR
3 - 2
GUA
32%
26%
43%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
GUA
3 - 2
RIO
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
RIO
2 - 2
GUA
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2008 |
FAR
1 - 1
PEL
33%
27%
41%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
PEL
3 - 1
FAR
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
FAR
3 - 2
GUA
32%
26%
43%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
FAR
1 - 1
ECA
25%
24%
50%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
RIO
2 - 0
FAR
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |