Guarani RS vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 2
GUA
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 3
LAJ
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
GUA
35%
23%
43%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
SAO
3 - 1
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
LAJ
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
ECA
2 - 0
GEB
58%
24%
19%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
GEB
0 - 1
SAO
32%
27%
41%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
LAJ
1 - 0
GEB
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
GEB
34%
24%
43%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
GEB
13 - 0
SSR
68%
19%
14%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |