Guarani RS vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 2
GUA
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 0
ISM
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
CRU
4 - 1
GUA
54%
26%
20%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SGA
0 - 2
GUA
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
GEB
2 - 1
CRU
17%
24%
59%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 0
GEB
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
GEB
0 - 2
LAJ
38%
28%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
ISM
3 - 2
GEB
47%
27%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
GEB
1 - 1
SGA
36%
25%
38%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |