Guarani RS vs EC Avenida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 1
SAN
60%
23%
18%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
ISM
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
RIO
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
SGA
2 - 1
GUA
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
PEL
1 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ECA
2 - 2
ISM
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
PEL
1 - 1
ECA
67%
21%
12%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
ECA
54%
26%
21%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ECA
0 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
ECA
4 - 1
RIO
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |