Guarani RS vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
63.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
GUA
0 - 2
BRA
10%
17%
74%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CAX
1 - 0
GUA
85%
11%
4%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
GRE
1 - 1
GUA
89%
9%
3%
|
42 | 76 | 34 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2005 |
GUA
2 - 1
SJO
66%
18%
16%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
SGA
2 - 1
GUA
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
SJO
0 - 2
CAX
13%
20%
67%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CAX
1 - 0
GUA
85%
11%
4%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
BRA
3 - 1
CAX
69%
19%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
CAX
2 - 1
SGA
86%
10%
4%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
GRE
0 - 0
CAX
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |