Guarani MG vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 1
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 2
GUA
13%
20%
67%
|
50 | 15 | 35 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 1
MIN
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAL
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 0
URT
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
URT
1 - 0
TUP
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
URT
1 - 4
BOA
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CRZ
1 - 0
URT
89%
9%
2%
|
49 | 87 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
URT
3 - 0
DEM
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |