Guarani MG vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PDC
1 - 0
GUA
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
ECI
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
TOM
1 - 1
GUA
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 2
FEC
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
VAL
0 - 3
GUA
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
URT
2 - 1
FEC
37%
27%
36%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
URT
3 - 0
PDC
43%
25%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
TRI
3 - 0
URT
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
URT
1 - 0
MAM
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ARA
3 - 1
URT
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |