Guarani MG vs Tupynambás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
SOC
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SOC
1 - 1
GUA
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
FEC
69%
20%
12%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FCB
0 - 0
GUA
26%
23%
51%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tupynambás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 0
NAC
40%
24%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
TFC
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
FCB
1 - 0
TFC
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
FEC
0 - 3
TFC
34%
22%
43%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |