Guarani MG vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
77%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BOA
0 - 0
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CRZ
0 - 1
GUA
89%
8%
2%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
VIL
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
GUA
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
FUN
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 0
CAL
85%
11%
4%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
ATM
10%
16%
74%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 0
BOA
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CRZ
6 - 1
ATM
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ATM
4 - 0
BOT
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |