Guarani de Palhoça vs Fluminense SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
HER
1 - 0
GUA
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
CAC
0 - 0
GUA
24%
24%
53%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 1
JAR
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 0
JUV
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
FFC
1 - 1
BAR
22%
21%
58%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
JAR
1 - 1
FFC
26%
21%
53%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
FFC
2 - 2
JUV
16%
19%
65%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 1
FFC
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2017 |
FFC
0 - 2
HER
19%
20%
61%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |