Guarani de Palhoça vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
JAR
0 - 2
GUA
10%
18%
73%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
CAM
53%
24%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
JUV
4 - 1
GUA
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
BAR
75%
16%
10%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
GUA
35%
26%
38%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CAC
2 - 1
CAM
34%
26%
41%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
MAF
1 - 2
CAC
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
CAC
2 - 0
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
CAC
3 - 0
JUV
53%
24%
24%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
JAR
0 - 7
CAC
13%
17%
70%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |