Guarani de Juazeiro vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TIR
2 - 2
GUA
66%
20%
13%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
86%
11%
3%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
RIV
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
IMP
3 - 2
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CEA
2 - 0
QUI
77%
16%
8%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 1
CEA
13%
21%
66%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
QUI
40%
26%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
QUI
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
4 - 1
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |