Guarani de Juazeiro vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
ITA
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
HOR
0 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
FER
47%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
HOR
3 - 0
GUA
67%
19%
13%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TIR
2 - 0
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 0
QUI
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 3
FOR
19%
23%
59%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 3
ITA
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 1
QUI
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 0
IGU
58%
20%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |